Trump Withdraw Paris Agreement, 2nd Time

It’s almost time for President-elect Donald Trump withdraw Paris Agreement 2nd time after taking his office in January assume office and, for the second time, withdraw the United States from the Paris Climate Agreement, and the world is eagerly anticipating the plan. This exit could come faster than it did in 2017, and perhaps more harshly hit global climate efforts.

Nearly 200 nations reached a deal in 2015 known as the 2015 Paris Agreement, that calls on countries to voluntarily cut greenhouse gas emissions to fight global warming. It is the policy of Trump Agenda 47 and Project 2025 summary, now ready to speed the United States out of the door, the country would remain one of the world’s largest economies outside the accord. His re-election would put a cloud over the upcoming COP29 climate summit in Azerbaijan, in which world leaders will look to cut reliance on fossil fuels and boost climate aid to poorer nations.

The Implications of U.S. Exit on Global Climate Efforts

If the United States leaves, it could be a headache for international climate goals. Ultimately, that would spur other nations to also step up their efforts, and take on a heavier share of the burden. But David Waskow of the World Resources Institute notes that while the United States has strongly pledged to the Paris Agreement, there is a risk that the promises might not be kept without U.S. participation.

Trump’s previous line on climate change as a “hoax” hadn’t wavered — he’s ignored global warming data and predictions from scientists that 2024 will mark a new temperature record. He can launch that withdrawal process once he takes office, it only takes one year to complete, a far quicker process than his first withdrawal.

Damage to Climate Diplomacy in the Long Term

Trump might commit to even further pulling the U.S. out of the very foundations of 1992 U.N climate framework — which critics say would destroy the whole framework of international climate talks. A complete walkout from these talks could make the U.S. an outlier, losing chances to influence debates over clean energy and environmental policy as China might become the leading player in solar power and electric cars markets. If the U.S. withdraws, as former climate envoy Jonathan Pershing notes, China’s influence already substantial would be reinforced.

What Makes This Withdrawal Different from 2017

Trump justified the withdrawal in 2017 when he said he did not represent “Paris, I represent Pittsburgh.” And now the Paris Agreement has been firmly ratified, not just countries are interested in achieving the goals. He adds his U.S. climate envoy when the deal was finalized was Todd Stern, and he doesn’t think other nations would follow Trump’s lead and drop the agreement.

In 2021, the U.S. rejoined the Paris accord and promised a 50% drop in emissions from 2005 levels by 2030 under the Biden administration. Though important progress has been made in the state, city, and business levels, federal action is still necessary for this target to be accomplished. Signatories of the Paris Agreement must submit their next climate plans in mid-2025, and the lack of a U.S. contribution could encourage climate policy opponents Asian Countries such as China, India and parts of Europe to scale back commitments.

Key test of Paris Agreement at COP29

Whether or not the world is dedicated to the Paris Agreement will be critically assessed at the upcoming COP29 summit. Nations are expected to announce a new climate aid target, which can rise to a trillion dollars a year. While Biden’s administration will still hash out these negotiations, other countries are likely to be more hesitant to set aside more funds and trust the U.S. should a Trump presidency be on the horizon.

The stakes are high: On the cusp of likely U.S. withdrawal from global climate cooperation, they have rarely been higher. We’ll put the Paris Agreement to the test and uncover the depths of its resilience to U.S. disengagement and whether international leaders can keep the world racing to protect our planet from climate change.